Jonathan's Space Pages

Space Object Reentries

Catalog of Space Object Reentries


In this catalog I assess and categorize each reentry of a historical artificial space objects (payloads, rocket bodies, ejected parts but not fragmentation debris) to compare with present disposal standards.

Statistical summary table [NOTE CAVEATS IN CODES.HTML!]

In the table below, rather than estimating casualty risk, we regard reentries of objects with masses greater than a threshold mass M0 as problematic.

For this edition of the table, M0 has been set to 5000 kg. Note that less massive objects, depending on design, may also pose a significant casualty risk.

Explanation of columns for this table

Updated: 2024 Apr 18 20:21:27

ReentryStats
CodeDescClausePL DisposedPL ActiveRBPartsTotal freePL Att DispTotal
Disposal consistent with US ODMSP
D-SODown/SO Targeteda1 2 0 470 18 490 0 490
D-DODown/Deorbiteda1 365 0 505 2012 2882 0 2882
D-LANDDown/Landeda1/f 2093 0 1 0 2094 0 2094
D-LEO25Down/LEO Reentry <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 3440 0 3282 6194 12916 279 13195
D-NL25Down/LEO-crossing <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 236 0 662 621 1519 8 1527
U-LEO25Up/LEO <25yr expected,Low mass M<M0b 1653 6707 138 52 8550 8 8558
U-NL25Up/LEO-crossing <25yr expected, Low mass M<M0b 2 0 14 13 29 2 31
U-MEO-EMEO Graveyard (ell.)c.I 25 5 199 110 339 4 343
U-MEO-CMEO Graveyard (circ)c.II 200 90 117 57 464 7 471
U-GGYDGEO Graveyardd 20 574 59 15 668 2 670
D-LUNDown/LunarL 68 0 7 64 139 0 139
U-HELHeliocentrica2 165 31 139 228 563 1 564
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SubtotalGood disposal (see note below)- 8269 7407 5593 9384 30653 311 30964
Other disposal
D-LEO25MDown/LEO Reentry <25yr, Massive M>M0- 35 0 96 0 131 3 134
U-LEO25MUp/LEO <25yr expected, Massive M>M0- 6 0 4 0 10 0 10
D-LEODown/LEO Reentry >25yr- 36 0 47 71 154 0 154
D-NLDown/LEO-crossing Reentry >25yr- 23 0 40 59 122 1 123
U-LEO+Up/LEO >25yr exceeded- 1282 0 636 503 2421 14 2435
U-LEOUp/LEO >25yr expected- 808 389 219 365 1781 10 1791
U-NL+Up/LEO-crossing >25yr exceeded- 25 0 22 109 156 2 158
U-NLUp/LEO-crossing >25yr expected- 8 0 8 77 93 0 93
U-DESTDestroyed- 9 0 4 3 16 0 16
U-GTOCrosses LEO and GEO- 128 51 373 148 700 3 703
U-XMEOViolates MEO rule- 44 33 5 3 85 0 85
U-XGEOCrosses GEO- 42 0 124 44 210 0 210
U-GEOIn GEO- 708 0 136 117 961 0 961
U-CISLCislunar- 28 13 35 47 123 0 123
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SubtotalBad disposal- 3182 486 1756 1551 6975 33 7008

Note: "Good disposal" means good from the point of view of risk for in-orbit debris collisions; can still be very "bad" from the point of view of ground casualty list for massive reentries.

Further caveats on the following items from US ODMSP Section 4-1:

Note: The ESA standard (ESSB-ST-U-007, 2023) and the ISO standard (ISO-24113, 2023) have generally similar requirements to the US standard, although the ISO standard restricts the GEO protected zone to inclinations of less than 15 degrees, and the ESA standard could use some improvements in clarity.